Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2018 - 2019 - 2020
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State Rank #45
New Haven Semi-State Rank #12
West Noble Regional Rank #6
Northrop Sectional Rank #6
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 1.8%
Advance to Semi-State 18.0%
Advance to Regional 92.1%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14 9/21 9/28 10/12 10/19 10/26
Team Rating 497 452 528 468 481 551 524 546
Team Adjusted Rating 452 528 468 481 492 524 546
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational New Haven Classic Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State
264  Hayden Mullett 12 17:08 16:44 17:16 17:05 17:09 17:12 17:08 17:05 17:20
269  Preston Sloffer 10 17:09 17:46 17:18 16:58 17:42 17:11 16:46 17:11 17:59
315  Robert Lohman 10 17:14 16:50 16:58 16:59 16:37 17:44 18:28
363  Wyatt Schroeder 12 17:19 17:31 17:49 17:22 17:14 17:02 17:25 17:15
430  Ian Gongwer 11 17:27 17:16 17:30 17:31 17:19 17:35 17:30 17:28
765  Jackson Million 10 17:58 17:47 18:07 18:01 17:44 18:14
838  Cole Hockema 12 18:05 18:03 17:39 18:02 19:13 18:42 17:53 17:55
851  Graydon Sylvester 11 18:06 18:24 18:25 17:43 17:59
928  Tim Derose 12 18:12 17:15 18:22 17:56 18:18 18:32
1,065  Alex Barb 11 18:22 18:28 18:27 18:27 18:18 18:19
1,274  Blake Nietert 9 18:37 19:03 18:46 18:37 18:01 18:43
1,354  Eli Coray 11 18:42 18:43
1,359  Brad Ogle 10 18:42 18:52 18:37
1,365  Nick Kiplinger 10 18:42 18:31 19:03 18:52 18:41 18:31
1,371  Jarod Wiehe 11 18:43 18:30 18:33 18:41 19:06 18:47
1,466  Jacob Kieffer 9 18:51 19:14 19:02 18:53 18:28 18:51
1,517  Jacob Blackburn 9 18:54 18:32 19:09 19:06 19:07 18:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 1.9% 20.7 478 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.4
Semi-State 18.0% 9.0 248 0.1 0.3 1.5 1.9 2.9 3.9 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.3
Regionals 92.1% 6.3 156 1.1 3.8 13.1 33.1 31.8 9.2
Sectionals 100% 4.4 123 10.4 44.7 37.0 7.0 1.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hayden Mullett 1.9% 116.0 0.1% 0.1%
Preston Sloffer 1.9% 120.3 0.0% 0.1%
Robert Lohman 1.9% 130.8 0.0% 0.1%
Wyatt Schroeder 1.9% 140.8 0.0% 0.0%
Ian Gongwer 1.9% 164.2 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson Million 1.9% 193.7 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Hockema 1.9% 197.1 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hayden Mullett 62.2% 61.4 0.1 53.9% 60.4%
Preston Sloffer 57.5% 62.6 0.1 48.2% 55.0%
Robert Lohman 38.7% 67.6 25.2% 33.4%
Wyatt Schroeder 28.1% 72.1 12.3% 19.1%
Ian Gongwer 19.5% 83.6 1.8% 5.2%
Jackson Million 18.0% 129.9 0.0% 0.0%
Cole Hockema 18.0% 137.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hayden Mullett 99.7% 30.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.7 1.9 2.9 3.7 5.1 5.5 96.2% 99.7%
Preston Sloffer 99.8% 31.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.8 3.0 3.6 3.6 4.0 97.5% 99.8%
Robert Lohman 99.4% 35.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.7 2.2 92.5% 99.2%
Wyatt Schroeder 98.1% 39.6 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.9 0.8 0.9 76.1% 97.0%
Ian Gongwer 95.4% 45.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 41.5% 89.8%
Jackson Million 92.1% 61.5 0.6% 13.0%
Cole Hockema 92.1% 64.0 0.0% 4.5%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hayden Mullett 19.5 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.8 2.8 6.9 7.8 8.1 9.0 8.4 8.8 7.0 6.6 5.6 5.2 4.7
Preston Sloffer 20.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.4 4.2 6.8 8.4 8.7 7.8 7.4 8.1 6.6 6.7 6.2 5.8
Robert Lohman 23.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.6 1.7 2.6 4.1 5.1 6.2 6.1 6.6 7.3 6.9 7.3 7.1
Wyatt Schroeder 25.9 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.2 3.7 4.7 4.7 5.4 6.9 6.0 7.2
Ian Gongwer 30.2 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.4 1.2 1.3 2.0 2.2 3.1 4.8
Jackson Million 44.1
Cole Hockema 47.1